

Tokyo inflation fell to 1.8 percent in February, the lowest level in more than a year, largely due to energy subsidies from the government of Sanae Takaichi. Despite this decline, core inflation excluding energy rose to 2.5 percent and remained above the 2 percent target, indicating that underlying price pressures persist. This situation has complicated policy communication for the Bank of Japan because signs of cooling inflation are appearing alongside continued underlying momentum. Markets still raise the possibility of rate hikes in the coming months, although the central bank is likely to act cautiously while assessing policy effects.

UK consumer confidence, according to GfK, fell in February for the first time in three months to minus 19. Rising concerns about unemployment and cost of living pressures have made households less willing to make major purchases. Data show job insecurity, especially among young people, is increasing rapidly and nearly 1 million individuals aged 16 to 24 are out of work and education. Central bank policymakers, including Catherine Mann, are monitoring these developments when considering the timing of potential interest rate cuts.