

New Zealand’s labor market showed signs of momentum in the final quarter of the year, but despite this, the unemployment rate rose to 5.4 percent, marking the highest level in a decade. The increase in unemployment occurred despite strong job growth, as the labor force participation rate rose to 70.5 percent. These data were in line with central bank expectations, and markets are pricing in an interest rate hike toward late 2026.

Thomas Barkin, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, said last year’s interest rate cuts helped support the labor market. He emphasized that bringing inflation back to the 2 percent target will require further effort. Barkin noted that while economic trends remain positive, job growth is concentrated in a few sectors and inflation remains above the central bank’s target.