Donald Trump announced that the United States will soon deploy the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford to the Middle East to increase pressure on Iran. This move comes alongside ongoing indirect nuclear negotiations, and Trump said he is hopeful about the success of the talks, but warned that failure to reach an agreement would bring serious consequences for Iran. The increased US military presence in the region has raised concerns about escalating geopolitical tensions.

US inflation in January was lower than expected. The Consumer Price Index, CPI, rose only 0.2% month over month, marking the smallest increase since July. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, increased in line with forecasts, while services costs rose but core goods prices remained largely stable. Lower energy, gasoline, and some goods prices helped moderate inflationary pressure, and the annual inflation rate also edged down slightly. However, super core inflation, excluding energy, food, and housing, rose by 0.6%, which is considered a high figure. Overall, after the report was released, expectations for interest rate cuts increased.

Cryptocurrency market analysts warn that a break below the 60,000 dollar level in Bitcoin could trigger a new wave of severe volatility and forced selling. Options market data on the Deribit platform shows a large concentration of contracts positioned for a drop below this level, and if prices fall, liquidations and deleveraging could be activated in a chain reaction. Some institutions, including Standard Chartered, have even raised the possibility of a decline toward the 50,000 dollar range, while Michael Burry has warned about the risk of a downward spiral. At the same time, shares of Coinbase Global Inc., despite a temporary rebound, are still significantly lower than last year, reflecting an overall weakening in crypto market sentiment.

Crédit Agricole Bank stated that the market focus this week is on the “dollar reset” and assessing foreign demand for US assets; the TIC foreign investment data could determine the short-term direction of the dollar. Traders are also waiting for the release of PCE inflation, PMI indices, and the Federal Reserve meeting minutes to evaluate the next signals for monetary policy. In addition to economic data, the review of trade tariffs at the Supreme Court of the United States is also considered an important market risk. The bank's summary indicates that the dollar has now entered a phase of “conditional stabilization,” and for sustained growth, continued inflows of foreign investors into US markets are needed.