

Federal Reserve officials say they are assessing the impact of artificial intelligence on the economy, but there is still no clear sign of a fundamental shift in macroeconomic data. Daly stressed that AI’s effect on productivity will take time and that policymakers must closely monitor detailed data. At the same time, Austan Goolsbee said that if inflation returns toward the 2% target, several rate cuts could occur in 2026. After three rate cuts in late 2025, the Fed is currently taking a wait and see approach while evaluating inflation and growth data.

UK inflation fell to 3% in January, the lowest level in 10 months, strengthening the case for a rate cut at the Bank of England’s March meeting. Lower fuel prices were the main driver of the decline, although services inflation remains relatively elevated. Members of the Monetary Policy Committee are divided over the timing of rate cuts, but recent data support a downward trend in price pressures. The central bank expects inflation to return to its 2% target in the spring, while signs of labor market weakness are also emerging.